SIGNAL Roderic Sports Intelligence

Status observatory

What is actually true right now

Every value on this page arrived through a governed adapter with provenance, or it says STATUS UNAVAILABLE. Nothing here is uptime theater: no invented “live” states, no relative timestamps, and every badge names the absolute moment its evidence was captured — a fresh capture lands here daily, and a capture too old to trust demotes itself.

Last capture attempt Aug 9, 2026 · 8:00 AM ET · site (build 210257a) built Aug 9, 2026 · 8:00 AM ET

How to read this page — four evidence clocks

Freshness is not one number. SIGNAL keeps four evidence clocks apart; its own site-build time is shown separately above:

SOURCE-DATA CLOCK
The producer-stated data-through boundary. A newly published artifact can honestly contain older source data.
RELEASE CLOCK
When the producer generated or published the named artifact SIGNAL read.
CAPTURE CLOCK
Every fetch-and-validation attempt, including a failed transport attempt that preserved a still-valid prior capture. SIGNAL VERIFIED is the accepted evidence time, not proof that the producer's data is new.
OBSERVATION CLOCK
When SIGNAL first recorded a distinct normalized state. Duplicate captures do not invent new state changes; see the observed log in the release ledger.

The state stamps are a closed vocabulary — CURRENT is evidence-backed, RESEARCH PREVIEW is the owner's own cap, PROVISIONAL is earned-but-unproven, STATUS UNAVAILABLE is the honest word for a value this site refuses to guess. A responding website proves none of these: HTTP 200 means a server answered, not that a model is current — which is why no stamp here is ever derived from a page merely loading.

A release hash is an identity, not another timestamp. The site-build time above is SIGNAL's own publication clock and does not refresh any sibling evidence.

Network state

Current state of each public product
Product State Release / data Source SIGNAL verified
Court Signal — open product site CURRENT . Model status: CORE provisional · production-truth PASS 9/9 v3.1.2 · asset 20260808a · data through 2025-26 season public artifact Aug 9, 2026 · 8:00 AM ET
Gridiron Signal — open product site RESEARCH PREVIEW . Model status: RESEARCH-PREVIEW-RETAINED — independent audit final disposition deployment d971d442 · analytical certification 3b42d26f · data through 2025 season (validated PASS) public artifact · state from manifest Aug 9, 2026 · 8:00 AM ET
Hardball Signal — open product site RESEARCH PREVIEW . Model status: 0 validated · 1 provisional · 11 research · 9 concept v1.1 · release 8a5605c933c1 · data through 2025-09-28 public artifact · state from manifest Aug 9, 2026 · 8:00 AM ET
Rinehart Ratings — open product site STALE . Model status: CBB milestone/aging · CFB milestone/aging · NFL milestone/aging · NBA milestone/stale · MLB "coming_soon" v1.0.0 captured at build Aug 9, 2026 · 8:00 AM ET

Public products — full records

Release
v3.1.2 · asset 20260808a
Artifact build
f9fee2f
Deployed build
Model status
CORE provisional · production-truth PASS 9/9
Data through (producer claim)
2025-26 season
Built (producer clock)
Aug 8, 2026 · 7:33 PM ET
Capture attempt (capture clock)
Aug 9, 2026 · 8:00 AM ET · accepted

Retrospective NBA impact analytics. CORE is provisional by its own registry (seven seasons, 2019-20 through 2025-26); 67-season box archive through completed 2025-26.

MANUAL VERIFICATION publicNote is a governed SIGNAL editorial supplement, separate from producer-owned status facts Fields: publicNote Supplement SHA256: f37a43bd144d… Supplement source: https://courtsignal.rodericrinehart.com/data/evidence.json + /data/production-truth.json (read-only recon 2026-08-08; production deployment 365a20e0 commit-verified) Supplement verified: Aug 8, 2026 · 8:30 PM ET · Method: automated capture of the public artifact named in sourceRef; any declared manual fields are hashed separately

SRC courtsignal.rodericrinehart.com/data/evidence.json + /data/production-truth.json MODE public artifact SHA256 9b64a61e4115… SIGNAL VERIFIED Aug 9, 2026 · 8:00 AM ET

Release
deployment d971d442 · analytical certification 3b42d26f
Artifact build
Deployed build
Analytical certification
3b42d26f07a80fa102c8ff9d00ae971cbe84dce9
Model status
RESEARCH-PREVIEW-RETAINED — independent audit final disposition
Data through (producer claim)
2025 season (validated PASS)
Freshness generated (producer clock)
Aug 8, 2026 · 12:40 PM ET
Capture attempt (capture clock)
Aug 9, 2026 · 8:00 AM ET · accepted

Independent hostile audit complete: pre-repair WITHHOLD, repaired, final disposition RESEARCH-PREVIEW-RETAINED. The analytical certification is 3b42d26f, not the deployed build identity. Canonical artifacts contain post-certification 2026 content matching source through 6da4c6d, while Cloudflare source metadata names f5ac5c2; exact deployed Git identity is unresolved and therefore not labeled Build. No metric stands above scaffold and no player ratings are published.

MANUAL VERIFICATION the final product-level verdict and analytical certification identity are published in repository audit documents; Cloudflare metadata and canonical bytes do not establish one exact deployed Git tree, so deployedBuildSha remains null rather than borrowing the certification SHA Fields: releaseId, buildSha, certificationSha, deployedBuildSha, modelStatus, productStatus, publicNote Supplement SHA256: 153ef3fd7d45… Supplement source: Gridiron Signal docs/audits/2026-08-08_CODEX_FINAL_CERTIFICATION.md + live /data/freshness.json, /data/experiments.json, and /data/2026/identity-receipt.json + Cloudflare deployment d971d442 metadata (independent read-only recon 2026-08-08) Supplement verified: Aug 8, 2026 · 8:30 PM ET · Method: automated capture of the public artifact named in sourceRef; any declared manual fields are hashed separately

SRC gridironsignal.rodericrinehart.com/data/freshness.json + SIGNAL manifest (release identity + final audit verdict) MODE public artifact (state stamp from manifest) SHA256 9f7c3b74f6ef… SIGNAL VERIFIED Aug 9, 2026 · 8:00 AM ET

Release
v1.1 · release 8a5605c933c1
Artifact build
8a5605c
Deployed build
Model status
0 validated · 1 provisional · 11 research · 9 concept
Data through (producer claim)
2025-09-28
Staged (producer clock)
Aug 8, 2026 · 7:16 PM ET
Capture attempt (capture clock)
Aug 9, 2026 · 8:00 AM ET · accepted

Builder verdict: DEPLOYED · SHARE-READY RESEARCH PRODUCT (final report 2026-08-08). v1.1 "Evidence-corrected release"; nothing is validated yet by its own registry: 1 provisional, 11 research, 9 concept. 2021–2025 seasons; the current season is not included.

MANUAL VERIFICATION the product-level status band and builder verdict live in repo release docs; the artifact now owns release identity and version label but carries per-metric statuses only Fields: productStatus, publicNote Supplement SHA256: e03e31d0bed2… Supplement source: https://hardballsignal.rodericrinehart.com/data/status.json + FINAL_REPORT_2026-08-08.md (read-only recon 2026-08-08; production deployment 94f6fefd commit-verified) Supplement verified: Aug 8, 2026 · 8:30 PM ET · Method: automated capture of the public artifact named in sourceRef; any declared manual fields are hashed separately

SRC hardballsignal.rodericrinehart.com/data/status.json + SIGNAL manifest (status band) MODE public artifact (state stamp from manifest) SHA256 1146b587930f… SIGNAL VERIFIED Aug 9, 2026 · 8:00 AM ET

Release
v1.0.0
Artifact build
643132a
Deployed build
Model status
CBB milestone/aging · CFB milestone/aging · NFL milestone/aging · NBA milestone/stale · MLB "coming_soon"
Data through (producer claim)
Boards generated (producer clock)
Aug 5, 2026 · 7:01 PM ET
Capture attempt (capture clock)
Aug 9, 2026 · 8:00 AM ET · accepted

Server-authored role and freshness verdicts are preserved verbatim at capture. SIGNAL derives only a conservative umbrella badge from the worst covered board; it never upgrades a board or recomputes a rating.

MANUAL VERIFICATION publicNote is a governed SIGNAL editorial supplement, separate from producer-owned status facts Fields: publicNote Supplement SHA256: 70f95e3c8fb8… Supplement source: https://ratings-api.rodericrinehart.com/api/v1/health + /sports + /offseason/{sport} (server-authored verdicts, read-only recon 2026-08-08) Supplement verified: Aug 8, 2026 · 8:30 PM ET · Method: automated capture of the public artifact named in sourceRef; any declared manual fields are hashed separately

SRC ratings-api.rodericrinehart.com/api/v1 health · sports · offseason/{sport} (server-authored verdicts) MODE captured at build SHA256 117a83041882… SIGNAL VERIFIED Aug 9, 2026 · 8:00 AM ET

Private systems

Private systems are part of the architecture but expose no public surface. Their entries are curated manifests of share-safe facts — never live reads.

Roster Command

PRIVATE

Private, owner-only. Its own docs keep unproven surfaces Unavailable rather than showing numbers that have not earned trust — and when its own audit invalidated the production model, the model was retired and the surfaces went honestly dark.

SRC Roster Command README.md (Current state) + docs/MODEL_CHANGELOG.md 2026-08-08 entry + docs/KNOWN_ISSUES.md RC-KI-047 (read-only recon 2026-08-08); fully Access-protected, no public surface MODE manual manifest SIGNAL VERIFIED Aug 8, 2026 · 8:30 PM ET

Hedgebook

PRIVATE

Private, owner-only. Descriptive market ledger; its probability surfaces are gated fail-closed and remain blocked until real evidence certifies them.

SRC Hedgebook docs/HEDGEBOOK_CONTEXT_FOR_WEB_AI_2026-08-02.md + ROADMAP.md 2026-08-08 implementation update (share-safe docs, read-only recon 2026-08-08); fully Access-protected, no public surface MODE manual manifest SIGNAL VERIFIED Aug 8, 2026 · 8:30 PM ET

Future

Pitch Signal

FUTURE

Future 3.0 concept. No models, no data, no launch date.

How this page is built

At build time, governed adapters read each public product's own machine-readable artifacts — Court Signal's evidence and production-truth files, Gridiron Signal's freshness file, Hardball Signal's status file, Rinehart Ratings' server-authored board verdicts. Captured bytes are hashed and archived; records are validated against a strict contract; and any failure falls back to a provenance-stamped manual manifest or fails closed to STATUS UNAVAILABLE. This site never queries a sibling database, never recomputes a sibling's number, and never infers “current” from a page merely responding.

Release ledger → · Provenance method →