SIGNAL Roderic Sports Intelligence

Signal Lab · full table

All recorded experiments

The complete ledger, ordered by recorded date. Because an audit date is not an experiment date, every row names what its date means. Grouped reading lives at the Lab index.
Recorded date Date meaning Experiment Product Verdict
2026-08-08 Disposition QB CORE pilot v1 — context-adjusted quarterback impact Does a context-ridge QB impact estimate earn research status against frozen gates? Gridiron Signal RETAINED BASELINE
2026-08-08 Disposition Trench visibility v1 — can offensive linemen be identified at all? Is individual offensive-line attribution identifiable enough to publish research values? Gridiron Signal WITHHELD
2026-08-08 Disposition Trench wave 2 — interior defensive line and off-ball linebackers Do defensive-front research values survive a cross-family agreement gate? Gridiron Signal WITHHELD
2026-08-08 Correction Season conservation under a hostile audit — 22 of 27 PASS Which historical seasons survive validation against source play-by-play defects? Gridiron Signal QUARANTINED
2026-08-08 Correction MLB champion model tournament — nothing promoted Does any candidate MLB team-strength model earn promotion over simple baselines? Rinehart Ratings RETAINED BASELINE
2026-08-08 Audit The GS-18 hostile audit — WITHHOLD, repaired, retained Does the product’s analytical record survive an independent hostile audit? Gridiron Signal RESEARCH
2026-08-08 Disposition LEG kicking scaffold — the future gate intentionally not passed Is kicking points above expected ready to claim anything? Gridiron Signal RESEARCH
2026-08-08 Disposition CFP committee rankability — the ordering did not validate Can a resume-based model reproduce the CFP committee’s final top-12 well enough to build a path model on? Rinehart Ratings FAILED
2026-08-08 Disposition ACC/Miami partial identification — the bounds are not narrow Can tiebreak ambiguity be bounded tightly enough to publish a target-team path probability? Rinehart Ratings FAILED
2026-08-08 Disposition CFP Path research — stopped by its own stopping rule Is a CFP Path model justified on current evidence? Rinehart Ratings RETAINED BASELINE
2026-08-08 Correction PULSE forward test — leakage found, evidence corrected, finding retained Did the forward test behind PULSE’s anti-forecast lede hold up under audit? Hardball Signal RETAINED BASELINE
2026-08-08 Disposition Baserunning shrinkage tournament v2 — the winning arm was still not promoted Does partial pooling at K=25 earn promotion over the unpooled baserunning baseline? Hardball Signal RETAINED BASELINE
2026-08-08 Correction season_stats corrections — a withdrawn claim and an impossible display What happens when a published claim or display is found wrong after release? Hardball Signal RETAINED BASELINE
2026-08-08 Audit Fundamental 0.1.8 — retired by its own audit What happens when the production model fails its own validity audit? Roster Command QUARANTINED
2026-08-08 Disposition Fundamental v0.2 — withheld before a candidate ever existed Can a successor rank model ship without a governed exposure estimator? Roster Command WITHHELD
2026-08-08 Disposition Evidence integrity — checked, retained, and won are kept apart Can a market-evidence ledger avoid laundering partial checks into full sweeps? Hedgebook RESEARCH
2026-08-07 Disposition Statcast-derived metrics — complete, tested, and blocked Can pitch-level Statcast metrics ship? Hardball Signal BLOCKED BY RIGHTS
2026-08-06 Disposition PULSE EWMA challenger — exponential decay vs. transparent windows Does an EWMA form estimate beat transparent trailing windows? Hardball Signal RETAINED BASELINE
2026-08-06 Disposition Park-adjusted batting tournament: challenger failed, result published Does park adjustment improve the batting impact-rate model enough to promote? Hardball Signal FAILED
2026-08-06 Disposition Starter and reliever pitching tournaments — claims dissolved Do the pitching impact-rate challengers hold up under paired bootstrap? Hardball Signal RETAINED BASELINE
2026-08-06 Disposition CROWN cumulative value — a provisional ledger with visible holes Can a replacement-baseline cumulative value ledger be published honestly before fielding is solved? Hardball Signal PROVISIONAL
2026-08-06 Disposition Batting shrinkage tournament — a win that shrank under multiplicity Does the shrunken batting arm beat the baseline and a league-mean-only control? Hardball Signal PROVISIONAL
2026-08-06 Disposition MLB live data source — blocked until someone says yes Is there an approved live MLB data source for a 2026 Current Board? Rinehart Ratings BLOCKED BY RIGHTS
2026-08-06 Disposition FORGE foundations — the constants before any value claim What do points buy in wins, and what does replacement look like, before FORGE claims any player value? Gridiron Signal RESEARCH
2026-08-05 Disposition EP/WP tournament v1 — challengers vs. the nflverse baseline Can any independent expected-points or win-probability arm beat replaying the nflverse EP/WP columns under frozen gates? Gridiron Signal RETAINED BASELINE
2026-08-01 Disposition Shot charts and spatial analytics — parked on permission, not failure Can shot-coordinate spatial surfaces ship? Court Signal BLOCKED BY RIGHTS
2026-08-01 Disposition Startup Calibration v0.1 — rejected after qualitative review Should a startup-order calibration candidate activate after passing every numeric gate? Roster Command RETAINED BASELINE
2026-07-31 Disposition ALIEN pilots — primary and DBPM-free comparator, both NULL Does an independent defensive component justify changing ALIEN — or removing its DBPM dependency? Court Signal RESEARCH
2026-07-30 Disposition RAPTOR–CORE Edition C — descriptive agreement, not superiority How does CORE align with RAPTOR's on/off and box components? Court Signal RESEARCH
2026-07-29 Disposition Lagged CORE vs. public metrics on a matched future-outcome task Does lagged CORE beat BPM, PER, WS/48, and VORP-rate at a frozen prediction task? Court Signal RESEARCH
2026-07-29 Disposition Forecast-to-market v1 certification pilot — seven gates, six blocked May a forecast ever act on a market price? Hedgebook BLOCKED BY DATA
2026-07-29 Disposition Conditional CORE-WAR prediction — exact replay, 15/16, NULL Does conditional CORE-WAR prediction earn promotion at a frozen, matched task? Court Signal RESEARCH
2026-07-28 Disposition Attribution experiment receipt — reproducible, and NULL Can possession-level attribution beat the frozen criteria it preregistered? Court Signal RESEARCH
2026-07-27 Disposition CORE-WAR accounting/scale receipt — a 12-hour NULL Does the CORE-WAR accounting and scale validation earn promotion? Court Signal RESEARCH
2026-07-25 Disposition CHEF formula pilot — second result-complete validation, NULL Does the CHEF formula earn a production nomination under frozen criteria? Court Signal RESEARCH
2026-07-25 Disposition MAMBA formula pilot — third result-complete validation, NULL Does the MAMBA (Creation Load) formula earn a production nomination? Court Signal RESEARCH
2026-07-24 Disposition BUCKETS formula pilot — first result-complete validation, NULL Does the BUCKETS formula earn a production nomination under frozen criteria? Court Signal RESEARCH

Curated Aug 8, 2026 · verdicts verbatim from owning repositories