NFL · public signal

Gridiron Signal

Who changed expected football value — at the level of a player, a unit, a play, a drive, or a game? Gridiron Signal covers all-position football with a rule stated up front: where the evidence gets hard to identify, it says so — identifiability measured, not assumed.

STATUS UNAVAILABLE Open Gridiron Signal

It owns

NFL game, drive, and play intelligence across the seasons the producer has validated for publication
Team-season, player-fact, and biography surfaces published from the same evidence corpus
A public metric registry — CORE (impact rate), FORGE (cumulative value), PULSE (form), SIGNAL (evidence reliability), LEG (kicking points above expected), plus positional CORE variants and PIN — every one scaffold or concept, and the registry says so
A public Research Lab: decision packets with verbatim verdicts, now overlaid with the independent audit’s current dispositions
Season validation: 22 of 27 seasons PASS under conservation-v3; 1999–2002 and 2011 are publication-ineligible rather than repaired by guesswork
2026 Role Watch: descriptive opportunity movement for the published player universe — observed role evidence, never player value, never fantasy advice

It deliberately does not own

Published player ratings — none exist; no metric stands above scaffold, and every promotion attempt to date was reversed or retained-baseline by the independent audit
Team strength boards — that is Rinehart Ratings
An independent EP/WP model — the audit kept RETAIN_BASELINE and sent the challengers to rework; production credits nflverse
Fantasy values or market prices

The audit, completed

A hostile audit ran — and the record shows it

On August 8, 2026 an independent hostile audit froze a pre-repair verdict of WITHHOLD, the defects it named were repaired, and the final certification issued RESEARCH-PREVIEW-RETAINED. The product’s own release notes carry the outcome: “Publication posture: bounded research preview.” Three earlier promotions were reversed, the published corpus counts were corrected downward, and the 2025 season was declared permanently spent as model evidence. The whole arc — including the verdict that went against the builder — is public.

For the 2026 season, identity and role evidence flows now (Role Watch), while play-driven lanes activate only when the upstream source publishes — around September 9. The preseason lane fails closed, because no lawful preseason game data exists anywhere.

Its evidence tiers are strict: SIGNAL (the metric) is a six-axis reliability profile whose overall band is the minimum across axes — an evidence profile for the facts shown, never an accuracy percentage.

Current state

STATUS UNAVAILABLE SIGNAL could not verify a value and refuses to guess.

Data through: 2025 season (validated PASS)

Technical verification details

Release: manual authority expired — status unavailable
Artifact build: manual authority expired — status unavailable
Deployed build identity: manual authority expired — status unavailable
Analytical certification: manual authority expired — status unavailable
Model status: manual authority expired — status unavailable
Data through (producer claim): 2025 season (validated PASS)
Freshness generated (producer clock): Aug 8, 2026 · 12:40 PM ET
Capture attempt (capture clock): Aug 27, 2026 · 5:08 PM ET · accepted

MANUAL VERIFICATION the product-level verdict and analytical certification live in governed repository audit documents, while the later deployment identity lives in a separate presentation-only release record; SIGNAL keeps those authorities distinct Fields: releaseId, buildSha, certificationSha, deployedBuildSha, modelStatus, productStatus, publicNote Supplement SHA256: 861d09f54eb9… Supplement source: Gridiron Signal docs/audits/2026-08-08_CODEX_FINAL_CERTIFICATION.md + docs/CODEX_COMPARE_RESCUE_AND_FUNCTIONAL_CERTIFICATION_2026-08-10.md + live /data/freshness.json, /data/experiments.json, and /data/2026/identity-receipt.json + clean presentation deployment af9ef1ec from 4fb72583c5fa781691b4f61285e08be2cae15400 (read-only recon 2026-08-12) Supplement verified: Aug 12, 2026 · 11:16 AM ET · Method: automated capture of the public artifact named in sourceRef; any declared manual fields are hashed separately

SRC gridironsignal.rodericrinehart.com/data/freshness.json + SIGNAL manifest (release identity + final audit verdict) MODE public artifact (state stamp from manifest) SHA256 9f7c3b74f6ef… SIGNAL VERIFIED Aug 27, 2026 · 5:08 PM ET

Gridiron Signal methodology Its public Research Lab Release notes & audit record 2026 Role Watch Shared CORE philosophy Its research in Signal Lab